Tuesday, August 25, 2009

The Highlander of Track and Field




A mathematical look at Usain Bolt's world record 100m dash last week. Apparently we shouldn't have seen this fast a time until 2030.

4 comments:

Peter H of Lebo said...

The chart has the lowest theoretical time for the 100m around 9.2-is that another so-call impossible barrier like the 4-min mile?

Also is the theoretical progression line, predicting what and when the future times will be, based on faulty trend data (with every generation, larger talent base, thus higher chance of faster athletes-outliers most records are new with only 6 of 48 WR prior to 1990 mostly in throwing? Granted, I think Bolt is just a freak outlier and has unbelievable performances that will last for generations like the chart illustrates.

Big Myk said...

Pete has a point, and I'm going to make a related one. Not only is it a dangerous thing to put a limit on human performance overall; it's also risky to place a limit on individual performance.

This from Bill Morgan, an emeritus professor of kinesiology at the University of Wisconsin, as reported in the New York Times: "All maximum performances are actually pseudo-maximum performances. You are always capable of doing more than you are doing."

This is the sort of thing that would warm of cockles of Jean Paul Sartre's heart. Morgan might as well have said, existence precedes essence.

Peter H of Lebo said...

Granted Myk, I am pretty sure a human will never run a 0 second 100m, so there may be a maximum performance. Unless of course we figure out how to make the human body run faster than the speed of light which would be awesome- finished before the runner started.

James R said...

Interesting…so should we start having asterisks for:
*drug enhanced
*increased population enhanced
*philosophically enhanced
*cyborg enhanced